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COVID-19 Hospital Impact Model for Epidemics


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COVID-19 Hospital Impact Model for Epidemics


This tool was developed by the Predictive Healthcare team at Penn Medicine. For questions and comments please see their contact page. Code can be found on Github. You can join their Slack channel if you would like to get involved.

Discrete-time SIR modeling of infections/recovery

The model consists of individuals who are either Susceptible, Infected, or Recovered.

The epidemic proceeds via a growth and decline process. This is the core model of infectious disease spread and has been in use in epidemiology for many years.